Preparing for the Alpine Fault (AF8): Earthquake Readiness in the South Island

The Alpine Fault (AF8) represents one of New Zealand’s most significant natural threats, with a 75% probability of a magnitude 8+ earthquake occurring within the next 50 years. The South Island is expected to face widespread damage, including the isolation of communities and major disruptions to critical infrastructure.

In response to this impending disaster, various organizations across the South Island are working hard to prepare. Combining Mātauranga Māori (traditional Māori knowledge) with modern scientific research, these efforts are designed to ensure communities are resilient and ready to face the challenges AF8 may bring.

A key initiative in this preparation has been the deployment of 22 EPODs (Emergency Pods) across South Island marae. These EPODs are equipped with essential supplies, medical tools, and communication systems, ensuring that marae can serve as vital emergency hubs during a disaster. This initiative, led by FIRST72 and Ngāi Tahu in partnership with Te Puni Kōkiri, helps safeguard local whānau and communities, providing them with the resources to remain self-sufficient for critical periods during an emergency.

In addition to this, Civil Defence groups across the South Island are actively engaged in preparation efforts. Regions like Canterbury, Otago, and the West Coast are focusing on raising awareness, building community resilience, and conducting regular disaster simulations. Civil Defence teams work closely with local councils, iwi, and community organizations to ensure emergency plans are in place and the public is educated about the risks associated with the Alpine Fault.

Ngāi Tahu has also been instrumental in preparing communities through the power of storytelling. They have produced a compelling video that blends Mātauranga Māori with scientific insights, demonstrating how traditional knowledge and narratives about past disasters are helping to empower whānau to take action. This combination of culture and science ensures communities are emotionally and practically ready to face the risks posed by AF8. You can watch the Ngāi Tahu storytelling video below:

For more information about the Alpine Fault and the potential risks, you can also watch the video created by the AF8 organisation below. This video offers an insightful look at what the Alpine Fault is, how it could affect the South Island, and what communities need to do to prepare.

Kia kaha – through collaboration, knowledge, and preparation, our communities can be equipped to face the challenges of AF8.